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Ceará — Grêmio Novorizontino: palpite e odds para 18/09/2026

Ceará vs Grêmio Novorizontino in the Brasileirão Série B (Hoje, 20:30). The model call is Grêmio Novorizontino vence, at odds 2,60 and 45% confidence.

Licence checked by meLast verified: Hoje, 21:3318Content for adults over 18
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Ceará 2 · 1 Grêmio Novorizontino

Brasileirão Série B Hoje, 20:30

Ceará vs Grêmio Novorizontino

Our tip Grêmio Novorizontino vence confidence 45%
Recorded odds 2,60 Betano
Bet at these odds

Model-estimated probability

  • Ceará 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • Grêmio Novorizontino 45%

Estimate from the data provider’s model. Not a guarantee of any result.

Odds recorded at publication time. Prices move: check the comparison board before betting.

Team comparison

Ceará Grêmio Novorizontino

35% Form 65%
32% Attack 68%
42% Defence 58%
26% Poisson model 74%
40% Head-to-head 60%
40% Goals 60%
36% Overall index 64%

How the two sides arrive

Home side Ceará

Recent matches LWLWLD

Season record
8W · 8D · 12L
Goals in the last 5
1.2 / 1.4
Season goal average
1.0 / 1.3
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
10
Away side Grêmio Novorizontino

Recent matches WWWWWD

Season record
14W · 8D · 6L
Goals in the last 5
2.6 / 1.0
Season goal average
1.7 / 0.9
Clean sheets
9
Failed to score
7

Goals scored / conceded per match. Current season, refreshed at every sync.

Head-to-head

2Ceará 0draws 3Grêmio Novorizontino
  • 23/05/2026 Grêmio Novorizontino 2 · 1 Ceará Serie B
  • 27/08/2024 Ceará 1 · 0 Grêmio Novorizontino Serie B
  • 10/05/2024 Grêmio Novorizontino 0 · 3 Ceará Serie B
  • 19/09/2023 Grêmio Novorizontino 4 · 1 Ceará Serie B
  • 28/05/2023 Ceará 0 · 3 Grêmio Novorizontino Serie B

Pressure over the match

Above: home side pressing Below: away side pressing

Match statistics

Ceará Grêmio Novorizontino

Overview

46% Ball possession 54%
0.71 Expected goals (xG) 2.09
1 Big chances 3
8 Total shots 24
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corner kicks 9
11 Fouls 13
335 Passes 383
18 Total tackles 21
13 Free kicks 11
4 Yellow cards 4
6.86 Average rating 6.63

Shots

8 Total shots 24
3 Shots on target 9
0.71 Expected goals (xG) 2.09
1.10 xG on target 1.95
3 Shots off target 9
2 Blocked shots 6
6 Shots inside the box 14
2 Shots outside the box 10

Attack

1 Big chances scored 1
0 Big chances missed 2
0 Through balls 1
9 Touches in the opposition box 28
2 Fouled in the final third 3
4 Offsides 2

Passes

242 Accurate passes 302
30 Throw-ins 25
60 Final third entries 58
41/81 (51%) Final third plays 93/134 (69%)
16/51 (31%) Accurate long balls 14/32 (44%)
3/11 (27%) Accurate crosses 8/32 (25%)

Duels

46% Duels won 54%
9 Possession lost 7
40/75 (53%) Ground duels 35/75 (47%)
17/48 (35%) Aerial duels 31/48 (65%)
10/22 (45%) Dribbles 4/15 (27%)

Defence

67% Tackles won 48%
18 Total tackles 21
12 Interceptions 10
48 Ball recoveries 54
35 Clearances 36

Goalkeeping

8 Goalkeeper saves 1
0.95 Goals prevented -0.90
2 Big saves 1
2 Goalkeeper punches 0
10 Goal kicks 4

How the match unfolded

  1. -5' Card
  2. 9' Card Júlio César
  3. 10' Card Patrick
  4. 31' VAR decision Enzo Valentim Lodovico
  5. 45' Goal Matheus Bianqui assist by Madson 0-1
  6. 45' Card Bryan Borges
  7. 46' Substitution Matheus Araújo Júlio César
  8. 46' Substitution Rian Santana Nicolás Ferreira
  9. 48' Goal Melk 1-1
  10. 55' Card João Gabriel
  11. 61' Goal Rian Santana assist by Enzo Valentim Lodovico 2-1
  12. 67' Substitution Diego Galo Nicolas Careca
  13. 67' Substitution Juninho Reidiney
  14. 78' Substitution Carlão Luís Oyama
  15. 79' Substitution Vinicius Paiva Rômulo
  16. 80' Substitution Richardson Enzo Valentim Lodovico
  17. 82' Card Matheus Bianqui
  18. 87' Substitution Lucas Mugni João Gabriel
  19. 87' Substitution Luiz Otavio Maria Matheus Bianqui
  20. 90' Card Juninho
  21. 90' Card Richardson
  22. 90' Substitution Vina Melk
  23. 90' Card Robson
  24. 90' VAR decision Saulo Mineiro

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