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Grêmio — São Paulo: palpite e odds para 08/08/2026

Grêmio vs São Paulo in the Brasileirão Série A (Amanhã, 16:00). The model call is Dupla chance: Grêmio ou empate, at odds 1,38 and 45% confidence. São Paulo won 4 of the last 6 meetings.

Licence checked by meLast verified: Hoje, 11:3018Content for adults over 18
Brasileirão Série A Amanhã, 16:00

Grêmio vs São Paulo

Our tip Dupla chance: Grêmio ou empate confidence 45%
Recorded odds 1,38 Betano
Bet at these odds

Model-estimated probability

  • Grêmio 45%
  • Draw 45%
  • São Paulo 10%

Estimate from the data provider’s model. Not a guarantee of any result.

Odds recorded at publication time. Prices move: check the comparison board before betting.

Decisive factors

  • Retrospecto pesa contra o mandanteO São Paulo venceu 4 dos últimos 6 confrontos diretos — por isso a leitura é a dupla chance, não a vitória seca do Grêmio.
  • Índice de forma favorece o GrêmioNo comparativo do provedor de dados, o Grêmio soma 71% contra 29% do São Paulo no índice de forma recente.
  • Leitura da odd registradaA odd 1,38 embute cerca de 72% de probabilidade implícita; o modelo atribui 90% ao conjunto Grêmio ou empate (45% + 45%).

Team comparison

Grêmio São Paulo

71% Form 29%
64% Attack 36%
44% Defence 56%
60% Poisson model 40%
40% Head-to-head 60%
45% Goals 55%
54% Overall index 46%

How the two sides arrive

Home side Grêmio

Recent matches LDWLLD

Season record
5W · 7D · 8L
Goals in the last 5
1.4 / 1.8
Season goal average
1.1 / 1.3
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
6
Away side São Paulo

Recent matches LLDLLD

Season record
7W · 5D · 8L
Goals in the last 5
0.8 / 1.4
Season goal average
1.3 / 1.2
Clean sheets
4
Failed to score
4

Goals scored / conceded per match. Current season, refreshed at every sync.

Head-to-head

2Grêmio 0draws 4São Paulo
  • 12/02/2026 São Paulo 2 · 0 Grêmio Serie A
  • 16/10/2025 Grêmio 2 · 0 São Paulo Serie A
  • 18/05/2025 São Paulo 2 · 1 Grêmio Serie A
  • 01/12/2024 Grêmio 2 · 1 São Paulo Serie A
  • 17/07/2024 São Paulo 1 · 0 Grêmio Serie A
  • 21/10/2023 São Paulo 3 · 0 Grêmio Serie A

Lineups Probable

Probable lineups: they change up to kick-off and are replaced by the official ones once published. Read 59 days ago.

Grêmio 4-2-3-1
1 Weverton 7.13
27 Diego Caito 7.80 6 G. Martins 6.92 82 Wallace 23 Marlon 7.16
19 E. Noriega 7.11 5 J. Nardoni 6.62
7 C. Pavón 7.11 20 M. Villasanti 6.85 9 F. Amuzu 6.78
95 C. Vinícius 7.01
Missing players
  • João Pedro Unavailable
  • Tetê Inactive
  • Willian Inactive
São Paulo 4-2-3-1
23 Rafael 6.78
19 L. Ramon 6.85 5 R. Arboleda 7.01 54 L. Osorio 6.65 18 Wendell 6.61
16 D. Bobadilla 6.74 29 P. Maia 6.67
37 Artur 7.03 8 M. Antônio 7.01 10 Luciano 6.99
9 J. Calleri 6.76
Missing players
  • Lucas Moura Achilles Tendon Injury
  • Maik Unavailable
  • Rafael Tolói Unavailable

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